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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1nehcnehc
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)65% (886–468, n=1354)61% (4023–2616, n=6639)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$4.2M-$858K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #145PM monthly #627
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)62% (211 of 340 open)74% (34 of 46 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139Politics −7 pts, n=125
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%63% of 8890 at avg 64¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)1% (won 20% of 92)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)25% (won 44% of 2260)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)40% (won 55% of 3534)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)34% (won 87% of 3004)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1nehcnehc
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $15K——Yes $3.5K