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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighNagastaBagambiRN1
Record (consensus markets)74% (426–151, n=577)43% (111–150, n=261)no settled market69% (305–140, n=445)
Consensus PnL$46K$276K—-$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #20PM monthly #29—PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (55 of 81 open)53% (8 of 15 open)no open consensus position83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=40———
Settled positions, side won44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%—100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 100% of 9)—1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 29% of 17)42% (won 100% of 63)—26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 55% of 11)40% (won 100% of 61)—40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 83% of 30)12% (won 100% of 18)—33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighNagastaBagambiRN1
Orleans: Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme de Ravel
same side · consensus Mattia Bellucci
Mattia Bellucci $27KMattia Bellucci $52K—Mattia Bellucci $25K
Monastir: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Pedro Vives Marcos
opposite sides · consensus Pedro Vives Marcos
Pedro Vives Marcos $1.4KManoj Dhamne Manas $1.7K——
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov
opposite sides · consensus Marvin Moeller
Marvin Moeller $237Nikolai Barsukov $923——
M25 Vale do Lobo: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Joao Dinis Silva
opposite sides · consensus Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
—Joao Dinis Silva $130—Mario Gonzalez Fernandez $835
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $8.6K—Lorenzo Sonego $14K
Orleans: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
same side · consensus Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Pierre-Hugues Herbert $55——Pierre-Hugues Herbert $685
Nepal Premier League: Sudurpaschim Royals vs Janakpur Bolts
same side · consensus Sudurpaschim Royals
Sudurpaschim Royals $100Sudurpaschim Royals $142——
Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cretu
same side · consensus Cezar Cretu
Pavlos Tsitsipas $19——Pavlos Tsitsipas $91
Victoria Women T20I: Namibia Women vs Uganda Women
same side · consensus Namibia Women
Namibia Women $10Namibia Women $33——