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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677primmwhosay
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)59% (1123–796, n=1919)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$5.3M$3.6M-$37K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #47PM monthly #887
Sides with the consensus68% (171 of 252 open)no open consensus position78% (7 of 9 open)50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——Tennis −3 pts, n=699
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%58% of 2076 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)11% (won 17% of 229)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)26% (won 36% of 541)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)28% (won 58% of 584)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)35% (won 88% of 722)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677primmwhosay
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141——Yes $776
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $333——Yes $162
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $172——Yes $267
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $152——Yes $202
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee $1.2K—Middle Tennessee $5.1K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $4.3K——Bianca Andreescu $536