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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1uprightuser
Record (consensus markets)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)80% (233–60, n=293)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14.8M-$55K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #29 + pinnedwas PM monthly #529
Sides with the consensus74% (136 of 185 open)59% (26 of 44 open)98% (43 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—Geopolitics −2 pts, n=70
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%55% of 305 at avg 54¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)36% (won 3% of 109)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)6% (won 24% of 17)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)9% (won 73% of 26)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)50% (won 93% of 153)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1uprightuser
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13KOver $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $600Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476Under $1.3K—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Kilian Feldbausch $191Sumit Nagal $1.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $287Ipek Oz $680—
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $348Under $481—
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Aidan Mayo $53Max Hans Rehberg $232—
Exact Score: FC UTA Arad 0 - 1 FC Petrolul Ploieşti?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $192No $27—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31No $12—
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $16KMai Hontama $18K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $2.5K—
Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5KNo $3.9K—
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.2KOver $125—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6KUnder $28—
Will FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3KNo $83—
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Zsombor Piros
Zsombor Piros $375Zsombor Piros $960—
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $543No $360—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702Under $20—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $361Kings $111—
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $59Anastasia Zakharova $287—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139Yes $192—
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
Carlo Alberto Caniato $11Carlo Alberto Caniato $304—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177Under $42—
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $87Under $13—