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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpLunarcoronanigiri99
Record (consensus markets)71% (2024–808, n=2832)no settled market55% (372–304, n=676)
Consensus PnL$386K—$436K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #899PM monthly #89
Sides with the consensus64% (91 of 143 open)no open consensus position51% (37 of 73 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)—14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)—24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)—43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)—18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpLunarcoronanigiri99
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
Georgia State $6—Georgia Southern $2.7K
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.7K—Yes $364
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $442—Yes $1.3K
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $915—Yes $365
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $117—Under $73
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $80—Over $11
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Colorado
Colorado $50—Colorado $2.5K
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $383—Heat $46
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49—Colts $3