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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpJamesBonder007joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)99% (127–1, n=128)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$36K$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #972PM monthly #3PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (138 of 199 open)100% (9 of 9 open)no open consensus position54% (53 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 125 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)0%12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)0%6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)0%65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)100% (won 100% of 125)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpJamesBonder007joseph00677RN1
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $348K——Under $649
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $21K——No $7.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6.6K——Over $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K——Over $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Jets $409——Canucks $867
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466——No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $281——Ipek Oz $678
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
Ducks $153——Oilers $649
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $25——Under $621
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $79——Warriors $520
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Heat $428——Warriors $110
Bruins vs. Penguins: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $103——Over $83
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $131——Yes $33
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 1 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $114——Yes $40
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Suns $1——Magic $43
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $78——Florida Atlantic $14K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $9.6K——Over $1.2K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7.6K——Under $1.1K
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $266——Jaguars $7.6K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.3K——Over $2.4K
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $2.6K——No $1.8K
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
No $2.7K——No $222
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $246——No $2.2K
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Under $657
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K——No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Spread: Bruins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bruins
Penguins $384——Penguins $52
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
Yuta Shimizu $23——Yuta Shimizu $341
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $8——Under $326
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139——Yes $192
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 0 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
No $219——No $92
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $174——Warriors $97
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176——Under $42
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)
same side · consensus EC Bahia
Cruzeiro EC $43——Cruzeiro EC $153
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $158——Under $15
Flyers vs. Rangers
same side · consensus Rangers
Flyers $86——Flyers $68
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
Canucks $18——Canucks $95
Spread: Oilers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ducks
Oilers $50——Oilers $10
Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $28——Over $6