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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | LlamaLoco0000 | MD14 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2750–1138, n=3888) | 52% (560–514, n=1074) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 84% (26–5, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $518K | $410K | $18K | $341K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #9 | was PM monthly #568 | PM monthly #108 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (62 of 120 open) | 65% (51 of 79 open) | 0% (0 of 15 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=564 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | — | 90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 42% (won 5% of 495) | 2% (won 100% of 5) | — | 3% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 39% of 266) | 31% (won 100% of 84) | — | 10% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 134) | 60% (won 100% of 161) | — | 21% (won 83% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 94% of 296) | 7% (won 100% of 20) | — | 66% (won 95% of 19) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | LlamaLoco0000 | MD14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Falcons $174 | Chiefs $8.8K | — | — |
| Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 152.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3 | Under $142 | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $303 | Vikings $6.7K | — | — |
| Flames vs. Kings same side · consensus Kings | Flames $225 | Flames $3.6K | — | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona same side · consensus Arizona | Arizona $30 | Arizona $3.0K | — | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5) same side · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines | Nevada Wolf Pack $12 | Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4K | — | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | — | — |
| New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 166.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $32 | Under $997 | — | — |
| New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 164.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $28 | Over $45 | — | — |