Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. South Alabama Jaguars

9 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold South Alabama Jaguars (90%) · South Alabama Jaguars at 65¢ · $13K held · ends Nov 6

Jacksonville State Gamecocks36¢South Alabama Jaguars64¢Ends Fri, Nov 6, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

South Alabama Jaguars

Consensus Traders

South Alabama Jaguars 90%

Total Value

$13.0K

Combined PnL

$109.6

Smart Money Entry

64.3¢ → 64.5¢

+0% since entry · 9 traders

Research grade

AvoidSouth Alabama Jaguars at 65%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

South Alabama Jaguars

9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Jacksonville State Gamecocks36%

South Alabama Jaguars65%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

South Alabama Jaguars9 traders

Total Value$12.4K

Total Shares19,130

Combined PnL+$100.95

Jacksonville State Gamecocks1 trader

Total Value$614.08

Total Shares1,730

Combined PnL+$8.65

South Alabama Jaguars — 90%Jacksonville State Gamecocks — 10%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Building

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

9 traders

Top 2 hold 74%

Freshness

Fresh

6h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

90% of non-arb traders are on South Alabama Jaguars. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 74% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleSouth Alabama Jaguars 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrSouth Alabama Jaguars 86% · 7

Aligned

Hand-pickedSouth Alabama Jaguars 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000South Alabama Jaguars 89% · 9

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HI hi774c	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 63.4¢	$6.5K	$6.7K	+$109.41	46% 5200-6052 (11252)
FL Flaznorp	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 66¢	$25.93	$2.4K	-$18.06	51% 25760-24462 (50222)
FO forecastication4	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 65¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	+$0	50% 1380-1391 (2771)
38 38791873984189	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 64.9¢	$849.41	$785.29	+$0.88	48% 61189-65989 (127178)
0X 0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115CTR	Jacksonville State Gamecocksavg 35¢	$605.44	$614.08	+$8.65	44% 67-87 (154)
SE sentrio	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 65¢	$521.16	$521.21	+$0.05	50% 25827-25531 (51358)
HO HomeRunHazard	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 64¢	$412.55	$415.88	+$3.33	54% 18232-15342 (33574)
BO BoomLaLa	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 64¢	$255.99	$259.99	+$4	53% 12487-11218 (23705)
VeryLucky888	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 63.5¢	$127	$130	+$3	58% 46700-33657 (80357)
IC ic4cream<$100	South Alabama Jaguarsavg 66.1¢	$96.56	$94.9	-$1.66	56% 2771-2186 (4957)

hi774c

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$6,537.27

Value

$6.7K

PnL

+$109.41

Record

46%

5200-6052 (11252)

Flaznorp

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$25.93

Value

$2.4K

PnL

-$18.06

Record

51%

25760-24462 (50222)

forecastication4

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$1,177.8

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

1380-1391 (2771)

38791873984189

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$849.41

Value

$785.29

PnL

+$0.88

Record

48%

61189-65989 (127178)

0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115CTR

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Invested

$605.44

Value

$614.08

PnL

+$8.65

Record

44%

67-87 (154)

sentrio

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$521.16

Value

$521.21

PnL

+$0.05

Record

50%

25827-25531 (51358)

HomeRunHazard

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$412.55

Value

$415.88

PnL

+$3.33

Record

54%

18232-15342 (33574)

BoomLaLa

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$255.99

Value

$259.99

PnL

+$4

Record

53%

12487-11218 (23705)

VeryLucky888

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$127

Value

$130

PnL

+$3

Record

58%

46700-33657 (80357)

ic4cream<$100

South Alabama Jaguars

Invested

$96.56

Value

$94.9

PnL

-$1.66

Record

56%

2771-2186 (4957)

Research grade

AvoidSouth Alabama Jaguars at 65%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

South Alabama Jaguars

9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Building

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

9 traders

Top 2 hold 74%

Freshness

Fresh

6h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

90% of non-arb traders are on South Alabama Jaguars. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 74% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleSouth Alabama Jaguars 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrSouth Alabama Jaguars 86% · 7

Aligned

Hand-pickedSouth Alabama Jaguars 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000South Alabama Jaguars 89% · 9

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that South Alabama Jaguars wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance66.6%

64.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$50.08

Max Loss

-$100.00

150.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.