← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ElonSpam | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (1263–1552, n=2815) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 50% (15092–15111, n=30203) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $90K | $4.2M | $3.0M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #946 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #58 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 53% (88 of 166 open) | 60% (135 of 225 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 3114 at avg 47¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 34% (won 9% of 1052) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 39% of 466) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 59% of 733) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 92% of 863) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ElonSpam | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Pistons opposite sides · consensus Pistons | 76ers $6.0K | — | Pistons $511 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | — | Wizards $3.9K | Hawks $678 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $1.0K | Sacramento State $3.5K |
| Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $1.0K | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.6K | Over $1.5K |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $2.2K | — | Pacers $54 | — |
| M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon opposite sides · consensus Mauricio Echazu | — | — | Maxwell McKennon $210 | Mauricio Echazu $1.0K |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | — | — | Leyre Romero Gormaz $740 | Solana Sierra $476 |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | — | Wizards $331 | Hawks $128 |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $2 | Under $168 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios same side · consensus Lautaro Midon | — | — | Tomas Barrios $56 | Tomas Barrios $16K |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $896 | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $18 | No $4.6K |
| Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate same side · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate | — | — | Carlos Maria Zarate $21 | Carlos Maria Zarate $3.7K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | — | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $23 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.6K |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) same side · consensus Ball State | — | — | UMass $504 | UMass $831 |
| Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $23 | No $779 |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | — | Lakers $607 | Lakers $3 |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | — | Hornets $271 | Hornets $129 |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $27 | Under $147 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Pelicans $4 | Pelicans $126 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Pelicans $4 | Pelicans $121 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3 | Over $84 |
| Will Puntarenas FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $52 | No $5 |
| Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $5 | Yes $11 |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $10 | No $5 |
| São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $6 | Under $4 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Suns $2 | Suns $6 |