PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CORGIIRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)63% (375–222, n=597)48% (11709–12487, n=24196)56% (100–79, n=179)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)
Consensus PnL$4.4M$13.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #126Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus25% (1 of 4 open)64% (16 of 25 open)no open consensus position50% (19 of 38 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 56% of 2460)7% (won 75% of 8)8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢55% (won 99% of 209)22% (won 94% of 5335)26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 85% of 2140)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 100% of 128)36% (won 99% of 8653)42% (won 96% of 47)38% (won 94% of 3856)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7361)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 99% of 3242)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCORGIIRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus Spirit
MOUZ $33KSpirit $27K—Spirit $28K
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Spirit
MOUZ $12K——Spirit $227
Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $302—Arthur Fils $7.7K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
TYLOO $4.0K——FURIA $103
Courmayeur: Gaia Maduzzi vs Linda Klimovicova
opposite sides · consensus Linda Klimovicova
—Linda Klimovicova $418—Gaia Maduzzi $140
Courmayeur: Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka
—Martyna Kubka $109—Mia Ristic $2
Counter-Strike: Envy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Tesla Cup Group B
same side · consensus Envy
Envy $11K——Envy $9
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
same side · consensus MOUZ
—MOUZ $4.9K—MOUZ $4