Courmayeur: Gaia Maduzzi vs Linda Klimovicova

11 of 13 top Polymarket traders hold Linda Klimovicova (85%) · Linda Klimovicova at 100¢ · $12K held · ends Nov 3

Gaia Maduzzi<1¢Linda Klimovicova>99¢Ends Tue, Nov 3, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Linda Klimovicova

Consensus Traders

Linda Klimovicova 85%

Total Value

$12.5K

Combined PnL

-$213.33

Smart Money Entry

83.8¢ → 100¢

+19% since entry · 11 traders

Research grade

NeutralLinda Klimovicova at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Linda Klimovicova

11 of 13 top traders (85%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Gaia Maduzzi0%

Linda Klimovicova100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Linda Klimovicova11 traders

Total Value$12.3K

Total Shares12,665

Combined PnL-$102.52

Gaia Maduzzi2 traders

Total Value$177.6

Total Shares960

Combined PnL-$110.81

Linda Klimovicova — 85%Gaia Maduzzi — 15%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO HomeRunHazard	Linda Klimovicovaavg 87.9¢	$6.3K	$6.1K	-$221.36	54% 16738-14040 (30778)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Linda Klimovicovaavg 81.2¢	$2.6K	$2.6K	-$0.6	52% 13478-12328 (25806)
TH thestingsnake	Linda Klimovicovaavg 77.6¢	$2.3K	$2.2K	+$192.86	60% 3897-2643 (6540)
RN1	Linda Klimovicovaavg 75.5¢	$385.7	$418.08	+$32.38	54% 55318-47360 (102678)
LS LSS1	Linda Klimovicovaavg 91¢	$407.68	$409.92	+$2.24	72% 1533-600 (2133)
1L 1lovejump	Linda Klimovicovaavg 73.7¢	$555.58	$243.24	+$16.04	53% 575-515 (1090)
UP UpTheBlues	Linda Klimovicovaavg 85.2¢	$365.03	$237.61	-$127.42	59% 44247-30614 (74861)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR	Gaia Maduzziavg 33¢	$249.88	$140.08	-$109.8	49% 18391-18816 (37207)
LI LilybaeumCTR<$100	Gaia Maduzziavg 19¢	$38.53	$37.52	-$1.01	62% 13578-8407 (21985)
PA pauleta23<$100	Linda Klimovicovaavg 71.1¢	$20	$18.43	-$1.57	67% 23024-11423 (34447)
EF efntrick<$100	Linda Klimovicovaavg 62¢	$9.74	$14.71	+$4.96	48% 3613-3865 (7478)
0xheavy888<$100	Linda Klimovicovaavg 79¢	$5.2	$5.36	+$0.16	56% 6840-5478 (12318)
HRTrading<$100	Linda Klimovicovaavg 75¢	$1.68	$1.47	-$0.21	54% 2558-2193 (4751)

HomeRunHazard

Linda Klimovicova

Invested

$6,314.77

Value

$6.1K

PnL

-$221.36

Record

54%

16738-14040 (30778)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Linda Klimovicova

Invested

$2,615.87

Value

$2.6K

PnL

-$0.6

Record

52%

13478-12328 (25806)

thestingsnake

Linda Klimovicova

Invested

$2,342.01

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$192.86

Record

60%

3897-2643 (6540)

RN1

Linda Klimovicova

Invested

$385.7

Value

$418.08

PnL

+$32.38

Record

54%

55318-47360 (102678)

LSS1

Linda Klimovicova

Invested

$407.68

Value

$409.92

PnL

+$2.24

Record

72%

1533-600 (2133)

1lovejump

Linda Klimovicova

Invested

$555.58

Value

$243.24

PnL

+$16.04

Record

53%

575-515 (1090)

UpTheBlues

Linda Klimovicova

Invested

$365.03

Value

$237.61

PnL

-$127.42

Record

59%

44247-30614 (74861)

omnibus-076daaCTR

Gaia Maduzzi

Invested

$249.88

Value

$140.08

PnL

-$109.8

Record

49%

18391-18816 (37207)

LilybaeumCTR<$100

Gaia Maduzzi

Invested

$38.53

Value

$37.52

PnL

-$1.01

Record

62%

13578-8407 (21985)

pauleta23<$100

Linda Klimovicova

Invested

$20

Value

$18.43

PnL

-$1.57

Record

67%

23024-11423 (34447)

efntrick<$100

Linda Klimovicova

Invested

$9.74

Value

$14.71

PnL

+$4.96

Record

48%

3613-3865 (7478)

0xheavy888<$100

Linda Klimovicova

Invested

$5.2

Value

$5.36

PnL

+$0.16

Record

56%

6840-5478 (12318)

HRTrading<$100

Linda Klimovicova

Invested

$1.68

Value

$1.47

PnL

-$0.21

Record

54%

2558-2193 (4751)

Research grade

NeutralLinda Klimovicova at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Linda Klimovicova

11 of 13 top traders (85%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Linda Klimovicova wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.