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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmRN1zimmer888
Record (consensus markets)45% (571–700, n=1271)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)100% (7–0, n=7)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.6M$14.8M$12K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #51PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #769
Sides with the consensus55% (16 of 29 open)67% (26 of 39 open)59% (145 of 244 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 6 at avg 2¢, ROI +97%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)100% (won 83% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)0%
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmRN1zimmer888
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $30K—Pelicans $125—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19K—Pelicans $135—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $417Central Michigan $12K—
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $2.5KUMass $1.0K—
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.3KUnder $175—
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $2.2KSacramento State $800—
Spread: Toledo (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Sacramento State $80Toledo $2.9K—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $797Over $2.1K—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5KUnder $3—
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $1.7KSacramento State $765—
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $1.4KCentral Michigan $815—
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $298Sacramento State $1.4K—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $880—Bucks $765—
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $984Central Michigan $583—
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $1.0KSacramento State $463—
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $900UMass $374—
Spread: UMass (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $480UMass $457—
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $243Sacramento State $462—
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $323—Pelicans $143—
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $142Sacramento State $181—
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $161Central Michigan $49—
Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Central Michigan $6Eastern Michigan $4—
Spread: Ball State (-2.5)
same side · consensus UMass
—UMass $3.0KUMass $804—
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $2.0KToledo $958—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.6KOver $179—
Spread: Toledo (-33.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $1.5KToledo $377—
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $438Toledo $773—
Spread: Toledo (-23.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $176Toledo $429—
Spread: Toledo (-9.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $2Toledo $582—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $357—Grizzlies $123—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 37.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $182Under $11—