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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmRN1Sagand
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)85% (44–8, n=52)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.6M$14.8M$27K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #48PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #882
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)68% (17 of 25 open)61% (132 of 218 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 53 at avg 68¢, ROI +15%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)13% (won 43% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)8% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)21% (won 91% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)58% (won 90% of 31)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmRN1Sagand
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $31K—Pelicans $126—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $19K—Pelicans $121—
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $7.5KCentral Michigan $587—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $2.0KCentral Michigan $5.6K—
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $3.4KCentral Michigan $18—
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $2.9KUMass $358—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.1KUnder $3—
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $2.4KSacramento State $631—
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $996Sacramento State $524—
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $589Sacramento State $842—
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KUnder $228—
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $277Sacramento State $466—
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $198Sacramento State $62—
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $188Central Michigan $33—
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $4.1KBall State $850—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.4KOver $182—
Spread: Toledo (-33.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $2.0KToledo $490—
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $948Toledo $785—
Spread: Toledo (-23.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $266Toledo $434—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $346—Grizzlies $118—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $66—Hawks $128—