Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaUpTheBlueszimmer888
Record (consensus markets)45% (549–663, n=1212)50% (14961–15011, n=29972)50% (19442–19516, n=38958)100% (6–0, n=6)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.0M$3.1M$1.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #60PM monthly #8PM monthly #753
Sides with the consensus68% (27 of 40 open)57% (79 of 139 open)64% (30 of 47 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • MLB +59 pts n=945, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%75% of 4 at avg 2¢, ROI +86%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)8% (won 60% of 899)7% (won 99% of 2777)100% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)21% (won 87% of 2444)20% (won 100% of 8217)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)39% (won 95% of 4418)22% (won 100% of 8818)0%
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)32% (won 99% of 3709)51% (won 100% of 20793)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankomnibus-076daaUpTheBlueszimmer888
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.9KYes $1.9K——
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $10No $1.2K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $802Yes $149——
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $72Over $10—
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—No $153No $26K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KUnder $21K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22KYes $117——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $215——
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $65Yes $5.3K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.2KYes $418——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $42Yes $4.2K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6KYes $69——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $59——
UE Tavernes vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $213No $42—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28Yes $41——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $30Yes $2—
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Lukas Pokorny
—Lukas Pokorny $5Lukas Pokorny $4—