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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Synthesizerchan
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)43% (129–174, n=303)63% (12–7, n=19)no settled market
Consensus PnL$779K$115K$251K-$101
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #40PM monthly #19 + pinnedPM monthly #964
Sides with the consensus53% (9 of 17 open)49% (58 of 119 open)62% (8 of 13 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%—
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)6% (won 100% of 9)11% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)42% (won 100% of 63)33% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)40% (won 100% of 61)44% (won 100% of 4)—
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)12% (won 100% of 18)11% (won 100% of 1)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Synthesizerchan
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $228Celtics $3.6KCeltics $65K—
Clippers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Clippers $1.5K—Suns $91K—
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Clippers $60K—Suns $28K—
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Legacy
—Legacy $4.1KFURIA $18K—
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $20K76ers $17——
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—Legacy $2.4KFURIA $7.1K—
Celtics vs. 76ers
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $144K—Celtics $238K—
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $23KJazz $12K—
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Clippers $29KClippers $212——
Spread: Magic (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Kings $5.7KKings $591—
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
Celtics $595Celtics $830——
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $10Celtics $442——