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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | juliuscheesar | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (73–52, n=125) | 86% (18–3, n=21) | 53% (568–497, n=1065) | 90% (19–2, n=21) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.5M | $16K | $613K | $531K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #970 | PM monthly #76 | PM monthly #67 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (6 of 15 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 59% (47 of 80 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 61 at avg 54¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 27 at avg 78¢, ROI −9% | 75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 41% of 104) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 100% of 25) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 25% (won 70% of 203) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 100% of 33) | 22% (won 100% of 6) | 45% (won 78% of 370) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 70% (won 100% of 19) | 18% (won 97% of 149) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | juliuscheesar | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $1.5M | — | 49ers $95K | Cowboys $204 |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $44K | — | 49ers $1.4K | Cowboys $5.4K |
| Hornets vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $42K | — | Hornets $380 | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $30K | — | 49ers $222 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $4.0K | — | 49ers $4.9K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Suns $2.7K | — | Lakers $561 | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $149K | — | Cowboys $71K | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Clippers $1.1K | — | Clippers $5.0K | — |
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs same side · consensus Team Spirit | — | Team Spirit $52 | Team Spirit $1.1K | — |