Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677rayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (10–9, n=19)87% (2312–346, n=2658)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$5.6M$30K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #1was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)no open consensus position63% (45 of 71 open)64% (110 of 172 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=901, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 980 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)12% (won 0% of 2)2% (won 95% of 21)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)6% (won 0% of 1)32% (won 98% of 318)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)65% (won 73% of 11)51% (won 98% of 504)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)18% (won 67% of 3)14% (won 98% of 137)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677rayvanmechelenRN1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $56K——No $146
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci
opposite sides · consensus Matej Dodig
——Michal Krajci $2Matej Dodig $9.0K
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-09-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $7Yes $2.9K
Cali: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Luisina Giovannini
opposite sides · consensus Luisina Giovannini
——Irene Burillo Escorihuela $10Luisina Giovannini $1.8K
FC Sion vs. FC Thun: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $9Over $930
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2Over $535
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Pacers $9Grizzlies $119
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
——Hernan Casanova $2Juan Manuel La Serna $13
Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3Yes $3
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $974Over $7.9K
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $11No $5.6K
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
same side · consensus Laura Samson
——Laura Samson $10Laura Samson $5.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $371No $2.5K
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $29No $2.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $169Over $1.5K
Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $15Under $783
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $82Over $81
Will FK Mladá Boleslav win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $3No $104
Birmingham City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1Under $57
Will Mantova 1911 win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $50No $3
Will SK Beveren win on 2026-09-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $9No $20