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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RadioCCOD | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 44% (11392–14477, n=25869) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 39% (127–196, n=323) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | -$8.8M | $4.6M | $31K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #949 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (35 of 40 open) | 63% (31 of 49 open) | 71% (70 of 98 open) | 83% (157 of 189 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Soccer −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 41% of 258 at avg 20¢, ROI +8% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 74% (won 23% of 190) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 10% (won 81% of 27) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 12% (won 94% of 31) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 4% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | RadioCCOD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Texans | Chargers $294K | Texans $71K | — | — |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Packers $143K | Patriots $10K | — | — |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $100K | Texans $41K | — | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots opposite sides · consensus Packers | Packers $104K | Patriots $13K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $14K | Under $7.9K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $357 | Yes $3 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $423K | — | No $346K | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $304K | — | Yes $12K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $124K | Seahawks $81K | — | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $74K | — | — | Yes $1.3K |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) same side · consensus Chargers | Chargers $3.9K | Chargers $31 | — | — |