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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorptestest10
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)39% (7–11, n=18)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.1M$4.1M$17K
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #87PM monthly #10PM monthly #472
Sides with the consensus90% (35 of 39 open)75% (27 of 36 open)70% (115 of 165 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 8 at avg 67¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—29% (won 11% of 403)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—16% (won 38% of 228)25% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—15% (won 62% of 214)13% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—40% (won 94% of 553)63% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorptestest10
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Rams $33KCommanders $218—
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $33KJets $67—
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Lions $31KDolphins $168—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $27KOver $390—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $151Yes $2.7K—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $651K—No $45K—
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $22KColts $13K——
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $31KOver $2.6K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
same side · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
—Juan Manuel Cerundolo $31KJuan Manuel Cerundolo $2.3K—
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Giants
—Giants $26KGiants $735—
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Patriots
—Patriots $26KPatriots $42—
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
—Broncos $21KBroncos $341—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
—Toby Samuel $14KToby Samuel $5.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.2KUnder $13K—