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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpglennyorkshire
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)47% (253–284, n=537)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$1.4M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #627
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)73% (11 of 15 open)65% (80 of 123 open)0% (0 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −24 pts, n=12Soccer −3 pts, n=215
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%55% of 434 at avg 55¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)6% (won 12% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)25% (won 46% of 107)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)51% (won 57% of 220)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)19% (won 78% of 81)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorpglennyorkshire
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A
opposite sides · consensus Power Rangers
—Power Rangers $3.5K—Nemiga Gaming $168
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $141Yes $2.8K—
Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Martin Krumich
opposite sides · consensus Martin Krumich
—Martin Krumich $3Hugo Grenier $58—
Hersonissos 3: Ryan Peniston vs Henry Searle
opposite sides · consensus Ryan Peniston
—Ryan Peniston $1Henry Searle $1—
Orleans: Edas Butvilas vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
same side · consensus Cosme Rolland De Ravel
—Cosme Rolland De Ravel $35KCosme Rolland De Ravel $3.7K—
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
—Adrian Andreev $21KAdrian Andreev $8.2K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
—Cameron Norrie $15KCameron Norrie $12K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Tomas Machac
—Tomas Machac $24KTomas Machac $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs HULIGANI (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B
same side · consensus Xipto Esports
—HULIGANI $2.4K—HULIGANI $46
Counter-Strike: maybe vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Play-In
same side · consensus MASONIC
—maybe $45—maybe $85