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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankeleonorrigbyKch-Tempkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)57% (73–54, n=127)59% (10–7, n=17)70% (16–7, n=23)47% (735–824, n=1559)
Consensus PnL$2.5M$34K$592K$653K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #922was PM monthly #256PM monthly #16
Sides with the consensus50% (9 of 18 open)0% (0 of 1 open)60% (3 of 5 open)52% (55 of 106 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +45 pts n=14, ROI +46%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 61 at avg 54¢, ROI +44%100% of 10 at avg 57¢, ROI +42%100% of 10 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 100% of 25)20% (won 100% of 2)30% (won 100% of 3)34% (won 100% of 161)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 33)40% (won 100% of 4)60% (won 100% of 6)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 3)30% (won 100% of 3)0%9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankeleonorrigbyKch-Tempkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Seahawks vs. Raiders
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $1.1M—Raiders $68K—
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $133K——49ers $14K
Steelers vs. Bengals
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
——Bengals $16KSteelers $19K
Spread: Rams (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $31K——Cardinals $366
Lakers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Suns $389——Lakers $22K
Spread: Rams (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $1.8K——Cardinals $260
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $1.2M—Cowboys $15K—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Clippers $608——Clippers $2.7K
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $1.7K——Seahawks $1.0K
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $45——Suns $1.2K