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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankPan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)66% (4112–2156, n=6268)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$21K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #893PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus83% (24 of 29 open)64% (102 of 159 open)64% (25 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)—10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)—22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)—36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)—33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankPan9XRN1
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Ryan Nijboer $3Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K
Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Qairat FK
—Atalanta BC $13Qairat FK $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $48Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $41Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $26Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $62Over $36
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $45Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $9Yes $11K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $35Yes $5.4K
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
—Nuno Borges $41Nuno Borges $4.6K
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $23Yes $3.4K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $74Over $3.0K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $16Over $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $30Under $1.3K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5Over $686
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $14Yes $7