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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankPan9XprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)65% (4155–2192, n=6347)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$21K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #983PM monthly #48PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus78% (28 of 36 open)57% (73 of 129 open)50% (9 of 18 open)58% (47 of 81 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 100% of 41)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)13% (won 100% of 154)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)26% (won 100% of 300)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)58% (won 100% of 671)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankPan9XprimmRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837Jaguars $26Ravens $4Jaguars $2.9K
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.1KRavens $12Ravens $510Jaguars $180
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292KJaguars $131—Jaguars $8.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $194KRavens $11—Jaguars $2.0K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Warriors $3.5KHeat $8—Warriors $520
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—Southern Miss $64James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $616
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $191Under $1.5KOver $890
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $88Over $741Under $1.5K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $30Under $1.8KOver $244
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $38Ravens $1.2KRavens $765
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $36Florida Atlantic $1.1KUTSA $226
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $92KRavens $19—Ravens $3.3K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $362Florida Atlantic $42KFlorida Atlantic $19K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3KOver $16Over $65—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $95Southern Miss $47Southern Miss $498
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $6.5KJaguars $7.0K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.0KOver $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2—Over $3.3K
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTSA
—Florida Atlantic $28—UTSA $3.0K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $73—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $53—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $85—Over $1.5K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 63.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $1.5K
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $60—Florida Atlantic $1.1K
Spread: UTSA (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $16—Florida Atlantic $1.1K
Heat vs. Warriors
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Warriors $815Heat $17——
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Ducks $123—Oilers $406
Spread: James Madison (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—Southern Miss $3James Madison $450—
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Suns $10—Magic $376
Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $40—Jaguars $226
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $9—Magic $207
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $27—Jaguars $131
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $105—Over $36
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $116—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Magic (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Magic $10—Suns $26
South Florida Bulls vs. DePaul Blue Demons
opposite sides · consensus DePaul Blue Demons
—DePaul Blue Demons $6—South Florida Bulls $16
Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $10—Jaguars $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $60—Under $1.3K
Spread: UTSA (-2.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $15—Florida Atlantic $1.3K
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $94Ravens $1.1K
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-3.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $123—Florida Atlantic $1.0K
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $13—Suns $928
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $293——Ravens $636
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $61—Florida Atlantic $775
Spread: UTSA (-6.5)
same side · consensus UTSA
—UTSA $17—UTSA $652
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $112—No $529
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $33Under $599—
Spread: UTSA (-3.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $10Florida Atlantic $586—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $532
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-13.5)
same side · consensus UTSA
—UTSA $94—UTSA $420