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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1Pan9XRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)63% (993–578, n=1571)65% (4374–2320, n=6694)48% (14365–15875, n=30240)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$4.8M$23K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #97was PM monthly #979PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)74% (60 of 81 open)47% (40 of 85 open)52% (14 of 27 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 1274 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)4% (won 100% of 45)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)19% (won 39% of 269)13% (won 100% of 163)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)23% (won 57% of 328)26% (won 100% of 329)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)58% (won 100% of 737)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1Pan9XRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2Over $3.3K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $67No $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $52Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $105Over $36
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Athletic Club $116Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407KNo $335K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
——Alexandra Eala $11Alexandra Eala $93K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $40No $11K
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $6.6KUnder $2—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $64No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $60Under $1.3K
W50 Huamantla: Valeriya Strakhova vs Cadence Brace
same side · consensus Cadence Brace
——Cadence Brace $18Cadence Brace $713
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $111No $524
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $52Over $360
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——Yes $81Yes $7