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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorppelik
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)99% (4549–14, n=4563)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$82K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #434
Sides with the consensus61% (17 of 28 open)62% (149 of 241 open)82% (9 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Finance +8 pts n=16, ROI +2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=20, ROI 0%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 3413 at avg 100¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)0% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)100% (won 100% of 3409)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorppelik
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $330KPacers $3.0K—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $29KPelicans $26—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $17KPelicans $262—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $1.0K
Spread: CD Tenerife (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
—CD Tenerife $99FC Andorra $1.0K
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $343Pacers $233—
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $195KPistons $3.9K—
Jazz vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Pelicans
Jazz $61KJazz $664—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $713Under $3.4K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $944Pistons $2.2K—
Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Andorra
—FC Andorra $517FC Andorra $2.0K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $1.0K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: CD Tenerife O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $257Under $1.8K