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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | pelik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 99% (4593–14, n=4607) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $3.3M | $83K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #123 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #433 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (10 of 15 open) | 52% (12 of 23 open) | 64% (131 of 206 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 100% of 3413 at avg 100¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 0% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 0% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 100% (won 100% of 3409) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | pelik |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $9.6K | — | Lakers $1.4K | — |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1 | — | Under $111 | — |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets same side · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $97K | — | Nuggets $7.9K | — |
| Heat vs. Clippers same side · consensus Heat | Clippers $17K | — | Clippers $922 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys same side · consensus Quentin Halys | Quentin Halys $12K | — | Quentin Halys $844 | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.6K | — | Raptors $211 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $305 | — | Spurs $1.4K | — |