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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (6509–6024, n=12533) | 48% (14163–15644, n=29807) | 93% (106–8, n=114) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $14.8M | $117K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #569 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (25 of 32 open) | 75% (141 of 187 open) | 67% (37 of 55 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 109 at avg 95¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 99% (won 98% of 108) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
26 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $28K | Yes $2 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K | — |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Will CS Cartaginés win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | Yes $747 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | No $529 | — |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz | — | Diletta Cherubini $279 | Ipek Oz $679 | — |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $851 | Under $8 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $81 | Warriors $500 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | Heat $444 | Warriors $107 | — |
| Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $47 | No $361 | — |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $122 | Over $99 | — |
| Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 2 Clube do Remo? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $9 | No $200 | — |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $104 | Over $13 | — |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Aishi Das vs Ashton Bowers opposite sides · consensus Aishi Das | — | Ashton Bowers $38 | Aishi Das $21 | — |
| Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) same side · consensus Clube do Remo | — | SE Palmeiras $29K | SE Palmeiras $15K | — |
| Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello same side · consensus Alice Tubello | — | Alice Tubello $15K | Alice Tubello $26K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato same side · consensus Marco Cecchinato | — | Marco Cecchinato $4.5K | Marco Cecchinato $34K | — |
| Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter same side · consensus James Kent Trotter | — | James Kent Trotter $1.1K | James Kent Trotter $25K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | No $2.5K | — |
| Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $6.0K | No $143 | — |
| Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.2K | No $165 | — |
| M25 Guadalajara: Blu Baker vs Rafael De Alba same side · consensus Blu Baker | — | Blu Baker $3.7K | Blu Baker $289 | — |
| Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5) same side · consensus SE Palmeiras | — | SE Palmeiras $3.1K | SE Palmeiras $745 | — |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.3K | Over $501 | — |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | Over $760 | — |
| Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.9K | No $708 | — |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.1K | Over $870 | — |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 7.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $634 | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — |
| CS Cartaginés leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $656 | No $685 | — |
| Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $578 | Over $289 | — |
| Rubio Nu leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $462 | No $267 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | Under $20 | — |
| Canucks vs. Jets same side · consensus Jets | — | Canucks $325 | Canucks $354 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $139 | Yes $192 | — |
| Will Inter San Carlos win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $76 | No $249 | — |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $8 | Under $313 | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Warriors $174 | Warriors $97 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | Under $42 | — |