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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 45% (1263–1552, n=2815) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $90K | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #946 | PM monthly #22 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 65% (179 of 276 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 48% of 3114 at avg 47¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 34% (won 9% of 1052) | 29% (won 11% of 423) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 15% (won 39% of 466) | 16% (won 40% of 243) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 59% of 733) | 17% (won 62% of 255) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 28% (won 92% of 863) | 38% (won 94% of 561) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $321K | — | Pacers $538 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $204K | 76ers $6.0K | — |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $70K | — | Pelicans $37 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $346 | — | Pacers $225 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $31K | — | Jazz $4 |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $8.7K | — | Celtics $215 |
| Hawks vs. Wizards same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $2.7K | — | Hawks $3.6K |
| Bulls vs. Knicks same side · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $5.7K | Knicks $325 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $954 | — | Pistons $1.0K |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $66 | — | Hawks $374 |