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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 41% (1492–2113, n=3605) | 52% (6467–6001, n=12468) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $76K | $3.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #828 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (25 of 31 open) | 63% (22 of 35 open) | 70% (83 of 118 open) | 52% (16 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 48% of 3114 at avg 47¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 34% (won 9% of 1052) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 15% (won 39% of 466) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 59% of 733) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 28% (won 92% of 863) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $68 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria Sholokhova opposite sides · consensus Maria Sholokhova | — | — | Victoria Rodriguez $38 | Maria Sholokhova $769 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Heat $440 | Warriors $143 |
| Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $71 | No $63 |
| Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) same side · consensus SE Palmeiras | — | — | SE Palmeiras $17K | SE Palmeiras $8.2K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | — | Bianca Andreescu $3.4K | Bianca Andreescu $5.8K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller same side · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva | — | — | Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.1K | Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.1K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $138 | Yes $192 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $8 | Under $316 |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Warriors $192 | Warriors $108 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $176 | Under $42 |