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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 45% (1263–1552, n=2815) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $90K | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #978 | PM monthly #22 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (21 of 28 open) | 55% (16 of 29 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 67% (216 of 322 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 48% of 3114 at avg 47¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 34% (won 9% of 1052) | 29% (won 11% of 423) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 15% (won 39% of 466) | 16% (won 40% of 243) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 59% of 733) | 17% (won 62% of 255) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 28% (won 92% of 863) | 38% (won 94% of 561) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Pistons opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $30K | Pistons $90K | 76ers $37K | 76ers $7.4K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Pacers $6 | Grizzlies $218K | — | Pacers $3.3K |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $1.3K | Celtics $880 | — | Celtics $1.3K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $19K | — | Pelicans $687 |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $14K | — | Bucks $2.4K |
| Hornets vs. Nets opposite sides · consensus Nets | Nets $429 | — | — | Hornets $3.4K |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Knicks $3.0K | — | — | Bulls $156 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $2.0K | — | — | Grizzlies $673 |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pistons $399 | — | — | 76ers $891 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $902 | — | — | Eastern Michigan $60 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $357 | — | Pacers $316 |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $108K | — | — | Thunder $3.5K |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets same side · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $73K | — | — | Nuggets $2.6K |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State same side · consensus Toledo | Sacramento State $20K | — | — | Sacramento State $215 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Suns $16K | — | — | Suns $2.5K |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $15K | — | — | Over $4.2K |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $9.3K | — | — | Spurs $51 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.6K | — | — | Raptors $379 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $283 | — | — | Under $2.1K |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | — | Grizzlies $1.8K | Grizzlies $644 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets same side · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $156 | — | — | Timberwolves $91 |