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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCornerGamingFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)38% (8–13, n=21)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)48% (14167–15640, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$7.9M-$28K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #611PM monthly #10PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)no open consensus position75% (114 of 152 open)50% (14 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 6 at avg 48¢, ROI +46%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)0%29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)33% (won 100% of 2)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)67% (won 100% of 4)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)0%39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCornerGamingFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $354Over $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
W50 Heraklion: Angela Fita Boluda vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
——Alisa Oktiabreva $1.9KAngela Fita Boluda $31
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
——Diletta Cherubini $291Ipek Oz $685
Luanda: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Gina Feistel
opposite sides · consensus Gina Feistel
——Gina Feistel $150Ksenia Zaytseva $3
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Maria Sakkari
same side · consensus Maria Sakkari
——Maria Sakkari $20KMaria Sakkari $9.2K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will Madura United win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.6KNo $5.3K
W50 Heraklion: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Martha MATOULA
same side · consensus Martha MATOULA
——Martha MATOULA $934Martha MATOULA $1.9K
M25 Heraklion: Alexandre Aubriot vs Robin Bertrand
same side · consensus Robin Bertrand
——Robin Bertrand $1.6KRobin Bertrand $276
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Cezar Cretu
same side · consensus Cezar Cretu
——Cezar Cretu $246Cezar Cretu $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42