PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (501–606, n=1107)56% (100–79, n=179)50% (13205–13344, n=26549)48% (11709–12487, n=24196)
Consensus PnL$12.1M$3.5M$3.4M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #16Hand-picked
Sides with the consensus73% (24 of 33 open)no open consensus position49% (21 of 43 open)68% (21 of 31 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)8% (won 58% of 836)10% (won 56% of 2460)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 181)26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 85% of 2140)22% (won 94% of 5335)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 99% of 176)42% (won 96% of 47)38% (won 94% of 3856)36% (won 99% of 8653)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 105)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 99% of 3242)31% (won 100% of 7361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daaRN1
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
——Spirit $227MOUZ $40K
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
——Karen Khachanov $34Carlos Alcaraz $11K
Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
——Arthur Fils $7.7KGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard $302
Courmayeur: Gaia Maduzzi vs Linda Klimovicova
opposite sides · consensus Linda Klimovicova
——Gaia Maduzzi $140Linda Klimovicova $418
Courmayeur: Mia Ristic vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka
——Mia Ristic $2Martyna Kubka $109
Curitiba: Julia Riera vs Rebeka Masarova
same side · consensus Rebeka Masarova
——Rebeka Masarova $54Rebeka Masarova $17K
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
same side · consensus MOUZ
——MOUZ $4MOUZ $5.3K
Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?
same side · consensus No
——No $520No $775
Games Total: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $4Under $1.1K