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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Bignum | HomeRunHazard | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (9–18, n=27) | 52% (590–548, n=1138) | 88% (15–2, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.6K | $400K | $475K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #57 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 68% (65 of 96 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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|
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +15% | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 50% of 6) | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 67% of 6) | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bignum | HomeRunHazard | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Patriots $7.0K | Lions $34K |
| Patriots vs. Lions opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Patriots $11K | Lions $17K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | — | Jaguars $1.1K | Titans $8.0K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | 49ers $8.4K | Cowboys $275 |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $7.9K | Vikings $8.3K |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $6.7K | Vikings $6.5K |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | — | Lions $32 | Lions $4.0K |