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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bagwell306 | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (25–22, n=47) | 58% (22–16, n=38) | 56% (5–4, n=9) | 55% (216–179, n=395) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.8K | $837K | $421K | $290K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #499 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #43 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 38% (8 of 21 open) | 45% (5 of 11 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 62% (79 of 127 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 24 at avg 48¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 100% of 6) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 2) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bagwell306 | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $23K | — | Thunder $4.6K |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights | Utah $539 | — | — | Golden Knights $15K |
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Packers | Packers $3.3K | — | — | Vikings $6.3K |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Packers $2.0K | — | — | Vikings $5.6K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Trail Blazers $676 | — | Thunder $4.3K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $133 | — | Thunder $3.7K |
| Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $884 |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | Raiders $14 | — | — | Seahawks $1.5K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Colts | Dolphins $34 | — | — | Colts $1.1K |
| USC vs. Indiana: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $5 | — | — | Over $910 |
| Spread: Colts (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Dolphins $48 | — | — | Colts $114 |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | — | Lakers $3.3K | — | Lakers $20K |
| Buffalo vs. Ball State same side · consensus Buffalo | Ball State $35 | — | — | Ball State $1.1K |
| Northwestern vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $411 | — | — | Over $234 |