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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | joseph00677 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (339–73, n=412) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (14382–15903, n=30285) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) |
| Consensus PnL | -$572K | $5.3M | $14.8M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #413 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #27 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (23 of 41 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 752 at avg 81¢, ROI +9% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 106) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 575) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | joseph00677 | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.7K | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $6 | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $71 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $60 | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.6K | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $872 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $41 | Under $801 |