← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (314–69, n=383) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) |
| Consensus PnL | -$551K | $9.4M | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #304 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 64% (178 of 279 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 552) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $321K | Pacers $538 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6.8K | No $258K | — |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Jazz $70K | Pelicans $36 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $346 | Pacers $215 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $31K | Jazz $4 |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $8.7K | Celtics $215 |
| Hawks vs. Wizards same side · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $2.7K | Hawks $3.6K |
| Charlottesville: Jack Kennedy vs Clement Chidekh same side · consensus Clement Chidekh | Clement Chidekh $3.3K | — | Clement Chidekh $1.0K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $954 | Pistons $1.0K |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $66 | Hawks $374 |