← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4520–3295, n=7815) | 83% (335–71, n=406) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6506–6010, n=12516) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | -$561K | $7.9M | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #449 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 73% (170 of 233 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 76% (won 98% of 552) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $7.1K | No $90K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | — | Yes $78K | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton | Arthur Rinderknech $2 | — | — | Ben Shelton $4.9K |