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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (321–71, n=392) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | -$551K | $9.4M | $3.3M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #322 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #3 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 52% (12 of 23 open) | 65% (164 of 251 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −8 pts, n=15 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 90% of 726 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 3% of 29) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 69% of 42) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 79% of 103) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 76% (won 98% of 552) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BABELCONSTEL | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7.0K | No $182K | — | — |
| Lakers vs. Kings opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $34K | — | Kings $1.3K | — |
| Flames vs. Kraken opposite sides · consensus Flames | Flames $13K | — | Kraken $153 | — |