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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188googleplayfantasy7788robustmst0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592juice-fruit
| AmericaFirst1 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 54% (208–178, n=386) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $822K | $230K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #750 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (4 of 16 open) | 44% (7 of 16 open) | 67% (112 of 168 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AmericaFirst1 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Nets $260K | Pelicans $3.9K |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Grizzlies $90K | Nuggets $5.1K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $10K | Nuggets $22K |
| Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $116 | — | Under $7.8K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $632 | Thunder $4.2K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Grizzlies $2 | Nuggets $37 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $166K | Spurs $9.3K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $831 | Nets $5.2K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Sacramento State $129 | — | Sacramento State $4.7K |
| Buffalo vs. Ball State same side · consensus Buffalo | Ball State $834 | — | Ball State $1.9K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Sacramento State $20 | — | Sacramento State $1.8K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Grizzlies $279 | Grizzlies $764 |