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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AmericaFirst1 | BreakTheBank | googleplay | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 50% (5–5, n=10) | 54% (208–178, n=386) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $822K | $430K | $230K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #750 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 29% (5 of 17 open) | 38% (6 of 16 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 67% (116 of 173 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 80% (won 100% of 4) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AmericaFirst1 | BreakTheBank | googleplay | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Nets $260K | — | Pelicans $3.9K |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Grizzlies $90K | — | Nuggets $5.1K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $10K | — | Nuggets $22K |
| Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $178 | — | — | Under $7.8K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $673 | — | Thunder $4.2K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Grizzlies $2 | — | Nuggets $37 |
| Spurs vs. Bulls same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $166K | — | Spurs $9.3K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-3.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $831 | — | Nets $5.2K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Sacramento State $129 | — | — | Sacramento State $4.7K |
| Buffalo vs. Ball State same side · consensus Buffalo | Ball State $1.2K | — | — | Ball State $1.9K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Sacramento State $20 | — | — | Sacramento State $1.8K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-3.5) same side · consensus Nuggets | — | Grizzlies $279 | — | Grizzlies $764 |