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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AltMindBreakTheBankFlaznorpVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)55% (30–25, n=55)56% (61–47, n=108)71% (2970–1233, n=4203)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$20K$770K$533K$530K
Tracked asPM monthly #883PM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #67
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)53% (16 of 30 open)47% (112 of 239 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic——Soccer −1 pts, n=612—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—0%41% (won 6% of 540)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 100% of 25)24% (won 38% of 322)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 30)11% (won 62% of 152)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 319)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAltMindBreakTheBankFlaznorpVirIntrepidus
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $942KFalcons $87Chiefs $7.8K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $1.1MVikings $397Vikings $8.5K
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $78KCowboys $15Cowboys $275
Pacers vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $84K76ers $5.8K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
—Titans $122K—Titans $109K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $204K—Vikings $12K
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $78K—Pacers $292
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $75KColts $53—
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $37K—Cowboys $5.8K