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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlegrandebigFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)93% (1486–114, n=1600)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL-$8.2K$3.5M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #821PM monthly #23PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus94% (33 of 35 open)76% (297 of 390 open)no open consensus position65% (129 of 197 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicWeather ±0 pts, n=762Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won92% of 1026 at avg 92¢, ROI 0%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 13% of 32)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 44% of 39)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 63% of 48)16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up88% (won 99% of 907)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

92 on the same side, 48 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlegrandebigFlaznorpprimmRN1
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $9.2K
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7.1K—Over $10K
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $13K—Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $9.0K—Yes $690
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.8K—Over $722
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.7K—Over $4.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.6K—Yes $153
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.7K—No $890
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.0K—Under $532
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Daniel Milavsky $581—Max Hans Rehberg $3.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.7K—Over $82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $560—Over $2.0K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.5K—Over $12
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.4K—Under $37
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $518—No $1.1K
Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.3K—No $262
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 3 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $38—No $1.4K
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $826—Yes $239
Will FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $995—Yes $13
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $812—Yes $163
AC Milan leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $929—Yes $8
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $900—Over $4
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $880—Over $5
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $873—Over $2
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $663—Yes $137
NEC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $165—Under $596
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
—Greet Minnen $686—Lisa Pigato $43
Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 0 - 0 Jagiellonia Białystok?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $619—Yes $10
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $440—Over $179
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $311—Yes $14
Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Red Bull Salzburg
—FC Red Bull Salzburg $313—RSC Anderlecht $10
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $60—Ivan Gakhov $238
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Inter Club d'Escaldes
—Inter Club d'Escaldes $282—FK Crvena zvezda $2
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 3 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $245—Yes $6
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $108—Warriors $130
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $197—No $31
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $50—Under $143
Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $144—Over $1
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $133—Over $2
W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry
opposite sides · consensus Luciana Perry
—Sloane Stephens $46—Luciana Perry $54
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $29
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $106K—No $66K
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $36K—No $46K