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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Alegrandebig | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 93% (1480–114, n=1594) | 52% (6451–6050, n=12501) | 63% (992–576, n=1568) | 48% (14167–15640, n=29807) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.1K | $3.6M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #840 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 94% (29 of 31 open) | 72% (119 of 166 open) | 69% (52 of 75 open) | 57% (21 of 37 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Finance −2 pts, n=113 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 1370 at avg 94¢, ROI 0% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 12% of 33) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 46% of 41) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 4% (won 62% of 50) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 91% (won 99% of 1246) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Alegrandebig | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Will Madura United win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3.0K | — | Yes $6.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $354 | — | Over $3.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala | — | Alexandra Eala $187 | — | Antonia Ruzic $1.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz | — | Diletta Cherubini $291 | — | Ipek Oz $685 |
| Madura United vs. Arema FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $739 | — | Under $169 |
| Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $47 | — | No $627 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $107 | — | Under $492 |
| Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue | — | Noma Noha Akugue $82 | — | Justina Mikulskyte $3 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5 | — | No $42K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $781 | — | No $29K | — |
| Luanda: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Gina Feistel same side · consensus Gina Feistel | — | Gina Feistel $13K | — | Gina Feistel $16K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi same side · consensus Robin Montgomery | — | Robin Montgomery $3.5K | — | Robin Montgomery $407 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.0K | — | Under $478 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.9K | — | Under $453 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Will Madura United vs. Arema FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | — | No $458 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Under $54 |
| Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $499 | — | Yes $529 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Under $20 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $357 | — | Over $189 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $139 | — | Yes $192 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | — | Under $42 |