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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AMike | beachboy4 | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 80% (12–3, n=15) | no settled market | 52% (6467–6001, n=12468) | 48% (14109–15586, n=29695) |
| Consensus PnL | -$3.0K | — | $3.5M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #734 | — | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 77% (211 of 273 open) | 64% (94 of 147 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +13% | — | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 0% of 4) | — | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 80% of 5) | — | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | — | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 100% of 6) | — | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
58 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AMike | beachboy4 | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $25K | Yes $13K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.6K |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $8.7K | Over $4 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $8.6K | Yes $3 |
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille | — | — | Olympique de Marseille $7.6K | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.5K | Over $4.5K |
| Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.9K | Yes $286 |
| Will AZ win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $2.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $441 | Over $2.9K |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.7K | Under $414 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.9K | Under $57 |
| Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $2.7K | Yes $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA | — | — | SC União Torreense $232 | Ararat-Armenia FA $2.3K |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $2.1K | Yes $243 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.5K | Yes $63 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.5K | Yes $32 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $600 | No $300 |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $640 | Over $185 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Heat $440 | Warriors $143 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $432 | Over $4 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $94 | Yes $186 |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $142 | Over $10 |
| Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus AZ | — | — | Juventus FC $49 | AZ $89 |
| W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek | — | — | Anna Siskova $60 | Isis Louise Van den Broek $72 |
| Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $83 | Over $33 |
| Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $16 | No $46 |
| MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $25 | Under $3 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $51K | No $27K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $47K | No $20K |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $34K | No $18K |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $24K | No $3.8K |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9.8K | Under $17K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic same side · consensus Filip Misolic | — | — | Filip Misolic $2.9K | Filip Misolic $18K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.6K | Under $11K |
| Will FC København win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $9.5K | Yes $4.1K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $6.5K | Under $6.9K |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.2K | Under $8.6K |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $7.2K | Under $3.1K |
| Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans same side · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | — | — | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $2.7K | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $7.6K |
| Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | — | Bianca Andreescu $3.4K | Bianca Andreescu $5.8K |
| Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $6.3K | No $668 |
| Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian same side · consensus Federico Coria | — | — | Federico Coria $1.1K | Federico Coria $5.5K |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $6.2K | Under $313 |