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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AML | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4–3, n=7) | 71% (2770–1157, n=3927) | 53% (513–456, n=969) | 88% (15–2, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | $362K | $526K | $592K | $475K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #55 | PM monthly #58 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 43% (51 of 118 open) | 51% (20 of 39 open) | 50% (3 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=564 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8% | 100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 42% (won 5% of 495) | 12% (won 40% of 83) | 33% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 39% of 266) | 23% (won 65% of 158) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 11% (won 64% of 134) | 44% (won 77% of 300) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 25% (won 94% of 296) | 20% (won 99% of 135) | 67% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AML | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $2.4K | Vikings $7.1K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | — | Patriots $6.0K | Lions $1.6K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $174 | — | Chiefs $6.1K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | — | — | Jaguars $1.3K | Titans $4.9K |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | Ole Miss $1.6K | Oklahoma $507 | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $303 | — | Vikings $5.8K |
| Panthers vs. Saints same side · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $3.1K | Panthers $223 | — |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys same side · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $15 | — | Cowboys $254 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $3 | — |