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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0keeptheblueflagflyinghighprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market43% (158–208, n=366)63% (19–11, n=30)67% (429–211, n=640)
Consensus PnL—$54K$22K-$142K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #814PM monthly #42PM monthly #63PM monthly #43 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position78% (21 of 27 open)no open consensus position46% (12 of 26 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won0% of 1 at avg 2¢, ROI +32%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 100% of 9)9% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢0%42% (won 100% of 63)27% (won 100% of 3)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢0%40% (won 100% of 61)64% (won 100% of 7)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up0%12% (won 100% of 18)0%33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0keeptheblueflagflyinghighprimmRN1
Predators vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Predators
—Predators $34K—Kings $123
Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Kaichi Uchida
opposite sides · consensus Kaichi Uchida
—Kaichi Uchida $28K—Joel Schwaerzler $758
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.1K—Under $85
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $295—Over $60
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $253—Under $58
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $113—Over $194
W75 Brisbane: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Emerson Jones
opposite sides · consensus Emerson Jones
—Emerson Jones $231—Chengyiyi Yuan $24
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Thunder $109—Trail Blazers $85
Predators vs. Kings: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.1K—Over $174
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $666—Trail Blazers $612
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $267—Under $94
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $105—Under $59
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $77—Trail Blazers $77