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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xC84e712F3C47A7532BE17f758fE6Bd45695cA5D2-1779887461766 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 55% (58–47, n=105) | 52% (590–548, n=1138) | 88% (15–2, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | $381K | $400K | $475K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #985 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #57 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 68% (68 of 100 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xC84e712F3C47A7532BE17f758fE6Bd45695cA5D2-1779887461766 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Lions opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Lions $727K | Patriots $11K | Lions $17K |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $115K | Vikings $6.7K | Vikings $6.5K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | — | Patriots $7.0K | Lions $34K |
| Panthers vs. Saints opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $1.8K | Saints $26K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | — | — | Jaguars $1.1K | Titans $8.3K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | — | 49ers $8.4K | Cowboys $275 |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $221K | — | Chiefs $6.3K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) same side · consensus Packers | — | — | Vikings $7.9K | Vikings $8.3K |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $2.3K | Cowboys $5.7K |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) same side · consensus Lions | — | — | Lions $32 | Lions $4.0K |