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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xC84e712F3C47A7532BE17f758fE6Bd45695cA5D2-1779887461766 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 55% (58–47, n=105) | 71% (2825–1180, n=4005) | 53% (529–468, n=997) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | $381K | $529K | $639K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #985 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #52 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 54% (129 of 241 open) | 55% (24 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=204 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3% | 77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 40% (won 6% of 531) | 12% (won 44% of 90) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 24% (won 38% of 315) | 25% (won 71% of 190) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 11% (won 61% of 150) | 45% (won 80% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 94% of 320) | 18% (won 99% of 142) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xC84e712F3C47A7532BE17f758fE6Bd45695cA5D2-1779887461766 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers vs. Saints same side · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $1.8K | Panthers $3.3K | Panthers $238 |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $221K | Falcons $165 | — |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | — | — | Ole Miss $1.6K | Oklahoma $494 |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $115K | Vikings $303 | — |
| Spread: Patriots (-1.5) same side · consensus Lions | — | Lions $25K | — | Lions $3 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $4.4K | — | Chiefs $12K |
| Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy same side · consensus Otto Virtanen | — | — | Otto Virtanen $392 | Otto Virtanen $1 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | — | Colts $49 | Colts $3 |