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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972FlaznorpHomeRunHazardjuice-fruit
Record (consensus markets)74% (80–28, n=108)75% (739–246, n=985)55% (201–167, n=368)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$3.3K$69K$227K$152K
Tracked asPM monthly #948PM monthly #14PM monthly #8PM monthly #33
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)67% (74 of 110 open)65% (35 of 54 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won100% of 68 at avg 84¢, ROI +20%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 3)34% (won 10% of 30)1% (won 100% of 1)2% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢0%19% (won 29% of 17)32% (won 100% of 31)25% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 100% of 5)13% (won 55% of 11)57% (won 100% of 55)44% (won 100% of 21)
Entries 70¢ and up88% (won 100% of 60)34% (won 83% of 30)10% (won 100% of 10)29% (won 100% of 14)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x954b91DD68ECA3aA4EA603ECeA83C01E8539C0e0-1783400656972FlaznorpHomeRunHazardjuice-fruit
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $10Bucks $2.8K—
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $65Under $1.0K—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $125Rockets $82—
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Celtics $196Celtics $4.7K—
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $83Under $2.7K—
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $1.4KRockets $838—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $542Seahawks $1.5K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $165Falcons $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $17Over $430—
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3Rockets $57—