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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)88% (106–14, n=120)41% (589–853, n=1442)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$103K$7.7M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #306PM monthly #1PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (9 of 12 open)76% (41 of 54 open)57% (84 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won83% of 102 at avg 73¢, ROI +10%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 33% of 21)10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 75% of 4)36% (won 98% of 212)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 100% of 6)35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up70% (won 97% of 71)20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121BreakTheBankRN1
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $179KCowboys $1.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $101KCowboys $2.0K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $67KEagles $20
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $49KCowboys $4.9K
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $37KEagles $8.7K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11KEagles $1.4K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $201KNo $4.7K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18KChiefs $1.7K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Rams $13KRams $2.7K